Using Risk Assessment to Support Investment Decision-Making

This paper concerns the management of onshore transmission oil and gas pipelines and the choices that operators must make for investment decision-making, particularly concerning the environmental consequences of incidents where there is a loss of containment (LOC) event from the pipeline (i.e. a leak or rupture). Understanding the tolerability of environmental impact is a difficult concept within the assessment process; there is no simple equivalence with safety risk tolerability where the principle of gross disproportionality may be used in decision-making to screen safety expenditure. Pipeline operators must develop alternative approaches to balance expenditure on pipeline inspection and maintenance that may mitigate environmental risks, versus expenditure for other purposes such as safety improvements. This paper explores how pipeline operation is regulated, the types of failures that operators must safeguard against and some possible approaches to aid decision-making.

The significant environmental liabilities associated with the decommissioning and abandonment of pipelines are not considered here. However, it is important to note that the management of pipelines beyond their useful economic life has important challenges and its own separate set of regulations.

Onshore pipelines have functionally similar roles to road and rail transportation – i.e. the bulk movement of natural gas, petroleum liquids and less frequently other chemicals over long distances. Compared to road and rail, pipelines are widely regarded as the safest mode of transport of hazardous fluids over long distances between facilities. However, pipeline management is complicated by the typical absence of secondary containment, with bunding, surface water traps and other measures usually only constructed at key points along the pipeline – such as valve chambers and pump stations.

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